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Commentary December 3, 2008 1:37AM EST Content found herein is not investment advise
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The
following is an addendum to our December 1, 2008 segment
on celebrated contrarian investment advisor Dr. Marc
Faber having told Bloomberg television that he was now
buying gold exploration stocks as well as gold
producers. We presented a list of gold companies that
have good cash position and/or are producing cash-flow
positive from operations, of which Metanor Resources
Inc. was a candidate.
Metanor Resources Inc. (TSX-V:
MTO) highly profitable in bulk sample phase;
CDN$800K cash flow profit
on a straight accounting basis in quarter ending Sept
30/08
Preamble:
Metanor Resources Inc. (TSX-V: MTO) is an
unhedged gold producer in mining friendly
Quebec. Metanor at its 100% owned 1,200
(upgradeable capacity) TPD mill in
Desmaraisville (Val d'Or) is now a full fledged
commercial producer as of October 1, 2008.
Production in 2008/09 should conservatively come
in at 25K oz gold and increase significantly
thereafter. Ore extract is coming from
their 100% open pit operation on their Barry
gold deposit (located approximately 65 km
southeast of the mill). With recent (Nov. 08)
sales of gold bars by Metanor at ~$CDN1,000/oz
MTO.V is experiencing significant positive cash
flow from low direct cash cost (~CDN$475/oz)
production. The current market cap of MTO.V is
less than 30% the replacement value (~CDN$140M)
of their infrastructure alone, ignoring the 1M+
oz gold resource, with ever expanding & further
significant exploration potential, with
substantial revenue projections.
Images from left
to right: Ball mill at Bachelor Lake facility,
Bachelor Lake Mill & Mine, Barry Deposit |
On SEDAR (copies
stmt1,
stmt2),
Dec. 1, 2008, Metanor Resources Inc. filed a quarterly
income statement that shows about a $1.3M loss of which
was $400K in stock based compensation (which is a non
cash item) with no revenue against it. Looking at the
deferred development cost and exploration expenses
statement… there are $2.7M in expenditures and $4.4M of
gold sales. Taking the sales of $4.4M and deducting the
aforementioned $1.3M income statement loss then
deducting (being conservative) ALL the deferred
development costs of $2.7M… Metanor Resources Inc. still
made ~$400K AFTER stock based compensation.
Summary:
$2.7M Deferred Development
Costs + $1.3M operations loss = $4M of total expenses
Take this away from $4.4M Revenue = $400K Profit + $400K
stock based compensation = $800K positive cash flow from
operations.
The above numbers are what
would have occurred from a proper Profit and Loss
Statement but Metanor was still under “bulk sample”
mode. Bulk sample just means it is eligible for tax
incentives in Quebec.
Metanor only announced
commercial production on October 1, 2008, but had they
announced commercial production as of July 1st they
would have been technically profitable.
Notes to above numbers:
Part of the development costs are not all operational,
Metanor has many properties and is adding value to them
so there are some expenses that would stay capitalized
but being conservative Metanor still made $800,000 on a
operational cash flow basis, stock based compensation is
just a measure of what the options are worth. Metanor’s
line of credit reflected the volume of payables paid and
inventory build up, but on a straight accounting basis,
they made money.
Forward looking: If they
can turn a handsome positive cash flow/profit at roughly
half of upgradable capacity of the mill with Barry
deposit ore and at a point where they are supposed to be
ironing out the kinks -- project forward to where the
company plans to be at 1200TPD with a mix of higher
grade Bachelor Lake/Hewfran and Barry ore and higher
efficiencies … the future looks very bright indeed.
Comments: Editor@MarketEquitiesResearch.com
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