Forward discounting metrics dictate the share price of
dynaCERT trade substantially upwards to reflect the
high-growth scenario the CEO confirms is underway
DynaCERT Inc.'s (TSX-V: DYA) (OTC: DYFSF) CEO has issued
insight on new Company manufacturing targets and
anticipated sales in an interview earlier this month; the CEO
states the Company is hiring and building-out to meet
demand, and aiming to manufacture at a rate of 2000 units
per month by the end of Q1-2016. We note that recent
press release from the Company affirms activities.
Assuming 2000 units are achieved as expected, Market
Equities Research Group calculates the dynaCERT is
projected to be generating $13.5 million per month in revenues,
resulting in $8.1 million per month positive gross
margin cash flow for the Company. The company will also
possess the ability to TRIPLE this output (and resulting
revenues and profit margins) by adding
additional shifts. Additionally the CEO believes that
its ability to meet demand will be eclipsed and is
considering outsourcing at that point.
In short, dynaCERT Inc. (TSX-V:
DYA) (OTC: DYFSF) will not remain a penny stock long
with numbers that the CEO stated he expects to be occurring. Analysis
by Jay Taylor of Hard Money Advisors, with whom the interview was
conducted, has recently initiated
coverage on dynaCERT Inc. with a 'Buy' recommendation also recommending
a US$1/share
(~$1.40 Canadian) near-term price target.
Background
dynaCERT Inc. engineers, manufactures, and distributes
transportable hydrogen generators that are proven to
improve fuel economy ~15% and reduce toxic gasses within
the emissions by 35% to 40% on diesel transport trucks
(this market sector is enormous and immediate for
dynaCERT).
Unlike conventional methods for emission control that
treat the gasses after the burn (e.g. urea tanks on
diesel transport that cause reduced fuel milage),
dynaCERT's technology treats the issue prior to the
burn, creating a more efficient flame that results in
less carbon build-up and increased fuel economy. dynaCERT is initially
targeting the diesel truck market and is currently on
track to open its new production facilities by the end
of Q1-2016 for its 3 L/min. Hydrogen units. The Company
is in development of a unit for the automotive car &
light truck market, and is actively targeting the large
stationary power generator sector via a unit (up to 300
L/min. Hydrogen unit) currently in Phase-2 with a power
generator utility company in the Caribbean. Successful
test results from the power generation test unit are
expected to springboard dynaCERT toward sales in the
large power generation, marine, and rail market.
Analysis of salient driving factors behind demand
T he
trucking industry is looking for solutions to fuel
savings and reduced emissions. The industry needs to clean up and will be
incentivized by either ‘the carrot or the stick’.
'The
Carrot'; Reward from Savings on Fuel Costs, less
downtime, and
Positive Image from Good Corporate Citizenry
dynaCERT Inc.’s H2/O2 HydraGen technology makes it
worthwhile for trucking fleets to make the capital
investment as:
-
Payback from fuel savings:
dynaCERT’s Phase-2 testing has some trucks in the field returning
with in excess of 17.5% improved fuel economy, representing only a
less than 7-month payback on an investment at current pricing for
many;
-
Payback from reduced downtime:
Payback in the form of reduced downtime is experienced as carbon
fouling issues are
minimized/eliminated; a cleaner and more efficient diesel burn is
attained from dynaCERT's H2/O2 timed injection technology; and
Perception of good corporate citizenry :
The image of good corporate social responsibility is ‘priceless’; the public/consumers see an
end user of dynaCERT's technology actively contributing to a healthier planet
as a corporation by reducing toxic gasses
within emissions by 30 – 40%.
'The Stick';
In mid-2015 U.S. regulators proposed a 24 per cent
improvement in fuel efficiency for heavy trucks over the
next decade as part of the Obama administration's plan
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, since then emission
pledges by both U.S. and Canadian governments made at
the Climate-Change Talks in Paris this past
December-2015 will require an acceleration on
regulations targeting the trucking industry.
Size of the immediate
market for dynaCERT's HydraGenTM diesel truck
market alone;
There are ~3 million
class-8 semi-trailer trucks in the United States,
according to estimates by the American Trucking
Association. Globally, there are tens-of-million diesel
trucks worldwide. In the U.S. alone, in excess of 50
billion gallons of fuel are consumed annually by trucks
used for business purposes, with over 70% being diesel
fuel. In recent years the U.S. trucking industry has
spent in
excess of $150 billion/year buying diesel fuel. Diesel fuel
is often the second highest expense for motor carriers
after labor and can be as much as 20% of total operating
costs.
The trucking industry is just the beginning;
There are millions of buses,
millions of pieces of heavy machinery, hundreds of
thousands commercial cargo ships, plus rail, and
thousands of large-scale power generation units -- all
highly susceptible to carbon fouling and toxic
emissions, and are looking for solutions that include
fuel savings.
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Insight from dynaCERT's CEO in recent interview confirms
high-growth technology scenario underway
Analyst Jay Taylor of Hard Money
Advisors has recently initiated coverage on dynaCERT Inc. with a
'Buy' recommendation and US$1/share (~$1.40 Canadian) near-term
price target (click
here to view his December-2015 advisory in full). Additionally,
this January-2016 the analyst interviewed dynaCERT's CEO, President,
and Director, Jim Payne about the opportunity and developments
within dynaCERT that will of interest to shareholders; the 30 minute
Q1-2016 audio interview may be listened to at
http://jaytaylormedia.com/media/taylor20160112-2.mp3 online. In
the interview Mr. Payne discussed many facets of the Company's fuel
and emission reduction technology, the demand for the many solutions
dynaCERT provides, and how the Company is actively proceeding to
capitalize on the opportunity.
In the interview Mr. Payne confirmed the Company is
in the final stages of 3rd-party accreditation for its
new-generation carbon emission reduction and fuel-saving units for
the trucking industry with final accreditation expected to be in
hand by the end of Q1-2016. It is believed accreditation will act as
a catalyst for significant growth for the Company and signify a
transition from initial commercialization to sales phase -- the
Company has received numerous expression of intent. Initial feedback from the
first install from the first purchase order of 50 units that are
currently being
installed is impressive; "How quickly can
I get 350 [more] units?" was stated by the first install
recipient.
Further in the interview Payne states
"The trucking industry is certainly our
low-hanging fruit, it is what is going to capitalize the Company and
give us the revenue stream and capital to move things forward in all
these other areas. By the end of the first quarter our ultimate goal
is that we are putting out 2000 units per month with the capacity
from there to increase to 4,000 or 6,000 per month by just putting
in a second and third shift." Jay Taylor inquired
on expected margins on 10,000 units to which Mr. Payne replied
"If we put out 10,000 units our sales at
that point are ~US$67,500,000 and we are basically working on 60%
gross margin profit." However such a number is
minuscule to what appears to be shaping up, and would represent
output form just part of one shift over one year, Mr. Payne stated things are are
looking much bigger "I do believe this is
going to outgrow our capacity or our desire to do the manufacturing
-- we are already in talks with some of the largest auto part
manufacturers in North America that have a very strong appetite for
manufacturing for us."
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# #
This release may contain forward-looking statements regarding future events that
involve risk and uncertainties. Readers are cautioned that these forward-looking
statements are only predictions and may differ materially from actual events or
results. Readers are cautioned that not until subject companies actually
releases official details themselves should anyone rely on the information
presented herein. Articles, excerpts, commentary and reviews herein are for
information purposes and are not solicitations to buy or sell any of the
securities mentioned.
Contact information:
Simon Levinson,
Editor in Chief
Market Equities Research Group
s.levinson@marketequitiesresearch.com
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